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Statistics don’t care about opinions.
Kalman Filter Strategy (Python)
The Kalman Filter is a mathematical algorithm used to estimate an underlying variable (like an asset price) from noisy observations.
The Kalman Filter provides a sophisticated method for smoothing and extracting latent trends from noisy market data.
52-Week High Trading Strategy
The “52-week high strategy” is an approach that contradicts the classic “buy low, sell high” mantra: instead, it aims to buy stocks that are near their 52-week highs, on the premise that such stocks may outperform those further away from their highs.
We looked at different statistics and trading strategies for this methodology.
Double Bottom Strategy
The double bottom pattern is a popular chart pattern. We describe it and backtest it.
Hindenburg Omen
Last week, the Hindenburg Omen was triggered. What does it mean, and should investors be concerned?
Double Top Strategy
In this post, we examine the double top pattern, and at the end of the article, we provide a backtest of the double top chart pattern strategy.
😵 Behavioral Bias of the Week
Self attribution bias
Self Attribution bias occurs when traders credit their successes to personal skill while blaming failures on external factors. It can lead to overconfidence, poor decision-making, and a failure to learn from mistakes. Traders often misjudge their abilities, leading to unnecessary risk-taking and repeated errors.
😵 Alternatives To The Stop Loss
One mantra is repeated when you read books and blogs about trading: you must always have a stop-loss. Why this obsession with stop-loss? Perhaps there are stop-loss options? We list some alternatives:
Backtest of the Week
Is Thanksgiving week positive for stocks?
If we buy Monday’s open and sell at the close of Black Friday we get the following equity curve for SP500:
📊 Results:
📈 Avg gain per trade: 0.65%
📊 CAGR (annual returns): 0.6%
✅ Win Rate: 70%
⏱️ Exposure: 1.1%
⚠️ Max Drawdown: -7%
Strategy Bundles
Did you know that we offer strategy bundles? If you want to dip your toe in the water, this might be the perfect option.
Here is the “beginner” bundle for S&P 500 (SPY), which contains 4 strategies (several years out of sample results):
📊 Results:
📈 Avg gain per trade: 0.7%
📊 CAGR (annual returns): 13%
✅ Win Rate: 74%
⏱️ Exposure: 27%
⚠️ Max Drawdown: -23%
Updated Strategy List
Many readers have missed a summary of our strategies, which are listed in a table. Now you can copy the table and paste it into a spreadsheet to perform the analysis you want.
🧠 Quote of the Week
If you can’t measure it, you probably can’t manage it… Things you measure tend to improve.
Ed Seykota
