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🤔 False Signals, Winning Edges & Market Bottoms
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Hi 👋
This week, I’ve put together three new videos. Hopefully, there’s something in there that’s useful to you. 👇
📉 1. How Likely Is A False Signal In Moving Average Trading?
🎯 Think your moving average strategy is solid? Think again.
We backtested 65 years of S&P 500 data to uncover how often moving average signals actually fail — and it’s more frequent than you might expect.
Inside this one:
✅ The odds of a false signal (it’s not random)
❗ Why some moving averages are more deceptive than others
🔍 Ways to filter out the noise and improve your edge
This is the kind of stuff most traders skip over — but it’s often what separates a clean strategy from a frustrating one.
📈 2. Winning S&P 500 Strategy: 66% Trading Edge
Ever wondered how often the S&P 500 goes up in a given quarter?
We pulled the data from 1960 to today — and found a clear pattern that could quietly shape your long-term strategy.
What you’ll learn:
✅ Is the market biased to the upside?
📊 What the long-term numbers really say
💡 How this might impact your allocation decisions
Short, calm, and to the point — no hype, just the stats.
⏳ 3. How Long Will It Take For Stocks To Hit Rock Bottom?
When the market drops, a common (and very human) question is:
"How long will this last?"
In this video, we looked at every major S&P 500 drawdown since 1929 to get some historical perspective.
No predictions. Just:
🧠 A look at how long recoveries have taken
📉 What’s “normal” in past bear markets
🕰️ Why timeframes might be longer than we think
If you’re feeling uneasy, this might help reframe things a bit.
Thanks for reading 🙏
Until next time,
Oddmund & Sammy