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Statistics don’t care about opinions.
Order Flow Strategy
Is it possible to make money on order flow? We discuss several methods for generating income from the order flow.
📺 7 Algo Trading Strategies 👉 View Here
📺 I Asked ChatGPT To Make Me A Profitable Bitcoin Strategy 👉 View Here
📺 Chande Momentum Strategy 👉 View Here
📺 What's the Chance the Market Closes Red After a Gap Down? 👉 View Here
📺 Jim Simons' Lessons From The Medallion Fund 👉 View Here
📺 Is Gold a Safe Haven Investment? 👉 View Here
Reddit Sentiment Trading Strategy
Cryptocurrency markets differ fundamentally from stock markets: they lack intrinsic value and are largely driven by retail investors. This leads to extremely high volatility; for example, Bitcoin’s average daily volatility is approximately 5.55%, nearly six times higher than that of stocks.
Can the “noise” on Reddit by retail traders be turned into a sentiment strategy?
😵 Behavioral Bias of the Week
Overconfidence bias
Overconfidence bias in trading, specifically “overconfidence bias trading,” often leads to poor investment decisions and significant losses.
Manifestations of overconfidence bias include excessive trading, inadequate diversification, and ignoring market trends and feedback. These behaviors increase transaction costs and portfolio volatility, leading to lower net returns.
😵 Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE) and Maximum Favorable Excursion (MFE)
MAE and MFE
How many times have you witnessed your trading systems move against your position? We guess almost any trade you take.
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE) is a term used in trading. It refers to the maximum amount of loss experienced by a trade from its entry point to its maximum loss point before the trade finally turns in favor of your position or is closed. Opposite, Maximum Favorable Excursion (MFE) refers to the maximum amount of profit that is reached during a trade before the price retraces and the trade is finally closed.
Backtest of the Week
Sector rotation between stocks (SPY and EFA), gold (GLD), and bonds (TLT).
The strategy was our monthly trading edge/strategy for Gold and Platinum members. Here’s the equity curve:
📊 Results:
📈 Avg gain per trade: 1.4%
📊 CAGR (annual returns): 12%
✅ Win Rate: 60%
⏱️ Exposure: 100%
⚠️ Max Drawdown: -21%
Updated Strategy List
Many readers have missed a summary of our strategies, which are listed in a table. Now you can copy the table and paste it into a spreadsheet to perform the analysis you want.
🧠 Quote of the Week
The most important rule of trading is to play great defense, not great offense.
Paul Tudor Jones
Dow Surges: No -20% Dip in a Year
S&P 500 earnings to hit another record high, up 13%.
NAAIM Crowd Is All-In — Should You Be?
The December Effect: 46% of NASDAQ Highs
Inside High-Frequency Trading Systems: The Race to Zero Latency
Bitcoin’s Death Cross: What Happens Next?
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