Quantified Strategies

🔍 The Alternative 60/40 Portfolio

The traditional 60/40 portfolio, 60% stocks and 40% bonds, has been the cornerstone of investment advice for decades. But what if we flipped conventional wisdom on its head?

Thomas Carlson’s “Defense First” strategy, as analyzed by Allocate Smartly, presents a compelling alternative that challenges traditional approaches to tactical asset allocation.

🔍 Is Buying the Dip Still Worth It in 2025? (We Backtested It)

Buying the dip has been a profitable strategy for the S&P 500 since futures started trading in 1982.

🔍 Most Stocks Are Bad Investments

Stocks have been an excellent investment over time. Still, only a small minority of listed stocks are worth investing in.

The Essentials

Curated links - all quantified and backtested

Choppiness Index by Bill Dreiss – Rules And Returns

A Simple 2-ETF Strategy That Outperforms the Nasdaq

What Are The Historical Returns For Stocks, Bonds, Gold, Real Estate, And Cash?

Monday/Tuesday In Nasdaq Trading Strategy

Weekly Video

Strategy Salad

Because One Strategy Is Never Enough. A Balanced Blend of Systematic Insights:

Iron Condor Strategy

🛋 The Equity Overnight Anomaly ETFs

🖼 From Defense to Offense: A Tactical Model for All Seasons

A final note

Our research suggests that about 70 to 90% of traders lose money. It is, of course, impossible to get an exact number, but as a rule of thumb, we believe 70-90% is close to the “correct” ballpark figure. 

Until next time,

Hakan and Oddmund